IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Indiana St.
Missouri Valley
2019-20

Overall
Predictive Rating	+0.2	#158
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	71.5	#104
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+0.7	#148

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-0.5	#181

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.1%	0.3%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	8.5%	15.0%	7.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.5%	1.8%	0.3%
Average Seed	13.1	12.2	13.4

.500 or above	45.5%	69.7%	41.7%
.500 or above in Conference	54.0%	70.1%	51.5%
Conference Champion	9.0%	15.9%	7.9%
Last Place in Conference	11.2%	5.2%	12.1%

First Four	0.4%	0.9%	0.4%
First Round	8.3%	14.6%	7.3%
Second Round	1.3%	3.2%	1.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.4%	0.9%	0.3%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Dayton (Away) - 13.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 3
Quad 2	1 - 4	1 - 6
Quad 3	6 - 7	7 - 13
Quad 4	7 - 2	14 - 15

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 09, 2019	60	@ Dayton	L	65-77	13%
Nov 13, 2019	6	@ Louisville	L	63-85	2%
Nov 17, 2019	120	Ball St.	L	74-77	40%
Nov 21, 2019	126	Duquesne	L	75-78	41%
Nov 22, 2019	149	Loyola Marymount	L	67-68	48%
Nov 24, 2019	170	Air Force	W	73-72	53%
Dec 03, 2019	153	North Dakota St.	W	74-71	60%
Dec 07, 2019	103	@ Wright St.	L	67-74	27%
Dec 18, 2019	272	Tennessee St.	W	80-71	79%
Dec 22, 2019	351	Chicago St.	W	87-67	96%
Dec 30, 2019	207	Southern Illinois	W	73-67	70%
Jan 04, 2020	145	@ Drake	L	73-77	37%
Jan 07, 2020	114	@ Northern Iowa	L	65-71	29%
Jan 11, 2020	187	Illinois St.	W	74-69	67%
Jan 15, 2020	182	Evansville	W	77-72	66%
Jan 18, 2020	199	@ Valparaiso	L	68-69	48%
Jan 22, 2020	109	@ Loyola Chicago	L	62-69	29%
Jan 25, 2020	136	Bradley	W	70-68	55%
Jan 29, 2020	145	Drake	W	76-74	57%
Feb 01, 2020	125	@ Missouri St.	L	68-74	32%
Feb 05, 2020	109	Loyola Chicago	L	65-66	48%
Feb 08, 2020	187	@ Illinois St.	L	71-72	46%
Feb 12, 2020	136	@ Bradley	L	67-71	36%
Feb 16, 2020	125	Missouri St.	W	72-71	51%
Feb 20, 2020	114	Northern Iowa	L	67-68	49%
Feb 23, 2020	182	@ Evansville	L	74-75	47%
Feb 26, 2020	207	@ Southern Illinois	W	70-69	50%
Feb 29, 2020	199	Valparaiso	W	72-66	67%
Projected Record						13 - 15	9 - 9

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Missouri Valley Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st											0.0	0.1	0.8	1.7	2.5	2.1	1.2	0.5	0.1		9.0	1st
2nd										0.0	0.2	1.6	3.3	3.4	1.4	0.4	0.1				10.4	2nd
3rd									0.0	0.2	2.4	4.3	3.1	1.0	0.1	0.0					11.0	3rd
4th								0.0	0.2	2.5	4.8	3.3	0.6	0.0							11.5	4th
5th							0.0	0.3	2.4	5.2	2.8	0.3	0.0								11.1	5th
6th						0.0	0.3	2.4	4.8	2.9	0.5	0.0									10.9	6th
7th					0.0	0.4	2.5	4.6	2.7	0.4	0.0										10.5	7th
8th			0.0	0.1	0.6	2.5	3.9	2.5	0.5	0.0											10.0	8th
9th		0.0	0.2	0.9	2.7	3.2	1.6	0.2	0.0												8.8	9th
10th	0.2	0.7	1.4	1.8	1.8	0.8	0.1	0.0													6.7	10th

Total	0.2	0.7	1.5	2.8	5.1	6.8	8.4	10.0	10.5	11.2	10.9	9.6	7.8	6.1	4.0	2.6	1.3	0.5	0.1			Total

Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.1		0.1
17-1	100.0%	0.5		0.5	0.0
16-2	95.5%	1.2		1.1	0.1
15-3	83.0%	2.1		1.7	0.4	0.0
14-4	62.3%	2.5		1.5	0.9	0.1
13-5	27.8%	1.7		0.7	0.7	0.2	0.0
12-6	9.6%	0.8		0.2	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0
11-7	1.5%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%	0.0					0.0
9-9	0.0%

Total	9.0%	9.0		5.8	2.4	0.7	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.1%		79.5%	59.4%	20.1%	7.8		0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0					0.0		49.5%
17-1	0.5%		66.0%	49.5%	16.4%	9.9		0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0				0.2		32.6%
16-2	1.3%		53.2%	43.5%	9.7%	11.6						0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.1	0.0			0.6		17.2%
15-3	2.6%		39.5%	34.1%	5.5%	12.0							0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2	0.4	0.2	0.1	0.0		1.6		8.3%
14-4	4.0%		26.0%	24.5%	1.5%	12.6											0.0	0.1	0.4	0.4	0.1	0.0		2.9		2.0%
13-5	6.1%		20.4%	20.3%	0.2%	13.2											0.0	0.0	0.3	0.5	0.4	0.1	0.0	4.8		0.2%
12-6	7.8%		13.7%	13.7%	0.0%	13.5											0.0		0.1	0.4	0.4	0.1	0.0	6.8		0.0%
11-7	9.6%		12.4%	12.4%		14.1													0.1	0.2	0.6	0.3	0.0	8.4
10-8	10.9%		5.9%	5.9%		14.2													0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1	10.2
9-9	11.2%		5.4%	5.4%		14.6													0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.1	10.6
8-10	10.5%		3.2%	3.2%		15.0														0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	10.2
7-11	10.0%		1.1%	1.1%		15.2														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	9.9
6-12	8.4%		0.9%	0.9%		15.6															0.0	0.0	0.0	8.3
5-13	6.8%		0.6%	0.6%		15.6																0.0	0.0	6.8
4-14	5.1%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																0.0	0.0	5.1
3-15	2.8%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	2.8
2-16	1.5%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	1.5
1-17	0.7%																							0.7
0-18	0.2%																							0.2

Total	100%		8.5%	8.0%	0.4%	13.1		0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.6	1.6	2.1	2.1	1.2	0.5	91.5		0.5%